The Colorado Springs Gazette final

Analysis: Results pave way for competitive elections

BY ERNEST LUNING ernest.luning@coloradopolitics.com

Colorado voters made two things clear in Tuesday’s primary election: The state’s blue streak could be put to the test in this year’s general election, and the Democrats who spent millions of dollars trying to pick Republican nominees failed spectacularly.

In linked developments, voters in the state’s Republican primary — including a record-high share of unaffiliated voters who decided to cast GOP ballots — pulled the Republican ticket back from a brink by nominating more traditional candidates in contested statewide and congressional races while rejecting massive efforts by Democrats to steer Republican voters toward more overtly conservative candidates.

Business owner Joe O’dea, a firsttime candidate with a history of donating to U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet, the Democrat he’s hoping to unseat, won the GOP nomination over state Rep. Ron Hanks, who boasts that he’s ranked among the most conservative lawmakers in the statehouse.

University of Colorado Regent Heidi Ganahl, the only Republican statewide office-holder, likewise prevailed over Greg Lopez, the former mayor of Parker making a second run at the

gubernatorial nomination. She will face Gov. Jared Polis in November.

In the other contested statewide GOP primary, former Jefferson County Clerk Pam Anderson trounced embattled Mesa County Clerk Tina Peters and political newcomer Mike O’donnell in the race to take on Democratic Secretary of State Jena Griswold. This primary, in particular, largely served as a proxy battle over competing views on the integrity of Colorado’s election system — with Anderson, a chief architect of the system contending it’s largely secure and Peters claiming it’s riddled with opportunity for fraud.

In an electoral bank shot, a Democrat-funded avalanche of TV ads and mailers describing Hanks and Lopez as “too conservative” for Colorado could have painted their respective primary opponents, O’dea and Ganahl, as the moderates in the race, setting the table for the GOP nominees to take advantage of what could be an ideal year for Republicans, a veteran GOP consultant said.

Across the state, voters in the GOP primary handed losses to the candidates whose campaigns were most clearly identified with former President Donald Trump and unfounded claims that he won the 2020 presidential election, with the notable exception of incumbent Rep. Lauren Boebert.

It was enough to avoid what prominent GOP candidates and strategists had warned would be a nightmare scenario, with the party’s nominees unable to attempt to capitalize on what’s shaping up to be a red wave.

O’dea and Ganahl posted convincing — if not overwhelming — wins, each receiving about 54% of the vote. In the three-way primary for secretary of state, Anderson pulled in about 43%, for a plurality, while O’donnell and Peters each tallied just over 28%.

The same pattern played out in the GOP primaries for open seats in the 7th and 8th Congressional Districts, where self-described MAGA candidates Laurel Imer and Lori Saine came in third with 16% and 20%, respectively.

In El Paso County, voters’ rejection of the more aggressively Trump-aligned candidates was even more pronounced, with the establishment Republicans taking 60%-70% of the vote in nearly every race over upstart candidates who secured spots on the ballot with wins at the county’s GOP assemblies.

Colorado Springs Republican Dave Williams, a state lawmaker and the only candidate to make the 5th Congressional District primary ballot at the Republican assembly, lost to incumbent Doug Lamborn with just 33% of the vote in a four-way race.

Boebert, the only Colorado candidate endorsed this year by Trump, proved the exception with her landslide, 30-point win over state Sen. Don Coram of Montrose, in her bid for a second term representing the 3rd Congressional District, though Boebert’s celebrity status and incumbent advantage — and massive fundraising lead — likely benefited her

Republican consultant Ryan Lynch, who hasn’t worked on any of Colorado’s state-level or congressional races this cycle, said the state GOP dodged a bullet.

“A Ron Hanks or a Tina Peters on the statewide ballot could’ve sunk the whole ticket,” he said, noting that down-ticket legislative and county candidates would have suffered, in part because national Republicans would have been less likely to put Colorado’s races on their map.

“Excessive spending on the Democratic side to try to promote the fringe-right candidate inevitably backfired,” he said. “It failed, but now you’ve upped the name ID of our candidates, and our candidates have been portrayed as moderates with millions spent to communicate that to voters.”

There’s little question that Colorado will be more competitive over the next four months than it would have been if Hanks, Lopez or Peters had won their statewide race’s respective primaries, with strategists from both parties suggesting that the state could start cropping up on battleground lists in coming months.

Democrats, however, dispute the notion that the Republicans nominees — particularly O’dea and Ganahl — qualify as centrists, as they’ve been described this week in media accounts, merely because they aren’t as far out there as the candidates they defeated.

“With abortion rights no longer federally protected, Coloradans are counting on their governor to safeguard their right to an abortion,” said Democratic Governors Association spokeswoman Christina Amestoy in a statement Wednesday.

“Heidi Ganahl vowed to ‘rip up’ Coloradans’ reproductive rights and ban abortion if elected. Reproductive freedoms for millions of Coloradans are on the line this November, and the only way to protect them is to reelect Gov. Jared Polis and shut down Ganahl’s extreme, anti-choice agenda.”

Alvina Vasquez, a Democratic consultant and spokeswoman for Democratic Colorado, one of the independent expenditure committees that spent heavily in the Republican Senate primary, predicted the group’s spending will bear fruit.

“Time and again, Joe O’dea has said one thing and done another — it’s clear that O’dea is not who he says he is, and Coloradans can’t trust him to fight for their interests,” she said via email.

“We know that Democratic Colorado’s efforts to educate voters on O’dea’s record and expose his hypocrisy have laid the groundwork to defeat him in November.”

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The Gazette, Colorado Springs